Table 5. The mean likelihoods of models and standard deviation, and Delta K value using Evanno methods (2005)

K Repeats Mean LnP(K) Stdev LnP(K) Ln'(K) |Ln''(K)| Delta K
2 10 −38,032.86 136.59 NA NA NA
3 10 −36,069.40 86.64 1,963.46 356.02 4.11
4 10 −34,461.96 148.82 1,607.44 603.31 4.05
5 10 −33,457.83 1,141.03 1,004.13 314.80 0.28
6 10 −32,138.90 172.48 1,318.93 148.16 0.86
7 10 −30,968.13 98.31 1,170.77 203.85 2.07
8 10 −30,001.21 197.36 966.92 291.76 1.48
9 10 −29,326.05 284.63 675.16 143.19 0.50
10 10 −28,507.70 130.32 818.35 356.90 2.74
11 10 −28,046.25 217.24 461.45 296.10 1.36
12 10 −27,288.70 136.85 757.55 275.49 2.01
13 10 −26,806.64 122.59 482.06 198.64 1.62
14 10 −26,523.22 259.54 283.42 532.71 2.05
15 10 −25,707.09 122.09 816.13 8,084.73 66.22
16 10 −32,975.69 2,4291.27 −7,268.60 13,542.77 0.56
17 10 −26,701.52 4,429.49 6,274.17 4871.03 1.10
18 10 −25,298.38 110.35 1,403.14 NA NA
Delta K: Mean(|Ln''(K)|) / Stdev LnP(K).
Bold shows the highest value in the Delta K.